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(Financial knowledge for dream life)

Blog - Stock Tips

Long term stock tips - 13 (SATYAM COMPUTERS)

Posted by SRIKANTHBABU KALIKI on May 1, 2011 at 12:16 PM

Company : Satyam Computers Services (NSE symbol:SATYAMCOMP)

Close Price: Rs. 75.70 (29-Apr-2011)

Recommendation: BUY

Market Cap 8853.66      * EPS (TTM) 0.00    * P/E 0.00    * P/C 3.89

* Book Value 19.52     * Price/Book 3.86     Div(%) 0.00%    * Div Yield(%) -

Market Lot 1.00      Face Value 2.00      Industry P/E 23.89

Satyam Computers services is witnessing renewed investor interest. After sluggishness over the past four quarters, the stock rebounded last week on news that the company has settled yet another lawsu It in the US courts. The development is expected to provide more credibility to the current management, which took over in the middle of 2009 following fraudulent practices of Satyam's previous management.


Satyam now uses Mahindra Satyam as its brand identity, restated previous financial numbers.In the last 6 months period, the stock has underperformed mostly trading range-bound below Rs 70. With reducing exposure to lawsuits and improving demand traction across geographies, we believe that the worst is over for the company. It is expected to return to normal business growth and profitability in the next 6-8 quarters.




Satyam offers IT services and solutions, infrastructure management, and business process outsourcing to global clients. It grossed nearly Rs 3,770 crore in revenue in April-December 2010 by selling its deliverables to customers across verticals, including banking and finance, manufacturing, healthcare, and telecom.


In mid-2009, Tech Mahindra through a special purpose entity took over the management control of Satyam after its earlier board confessed to financial manipulation. Since then, the new management has struggled to bring the company back on the growth track. The company has so far been able to report a gradual improvement in its operating profitability. This will improve further since the proportion of uncertain cash outflows towards meeting prior period obligations and settling legal claims are expected to go down.

The company reported a 2.5% growth in business volumes measured in terms of billed man hours in October-December. Though this is lower than 3-6% growth shown by its bigger peers, what could offer some relief is the fact that Satyam's billing rates are stable. This reflects that the company is no more facing pressure to retain clients. Moreover, it has begun to grow its client base, adding seven customers in the past quarter. The company has picked up momentum in Australia, Europe and West Asia, which are expected to drive its growth in the near term.




Satyam has settled most of the lawsuits after the new management took over. In the past two months, it has gone for out-of-court settlement, which would result in outflow of around Rs 570 crore. At the last count, the company had cash of Rs 2,900 crore, which would be utilised to pay for these settlements. Therefore, such legal issues will not stretch its balance sheet. Settlement of legal issues would also help reinstate the credentials of the management, thereby improving saleability of its services.




The company's earnings in January-March 2011 would be a crucial indicator of its future prospects. The company is expected to report operating margin in higher single digits. Given strong outsourcing demand and possibility of higher billing rates, the company is likely to report a 10-12% profitability and a similar revenue growth by FY12. Considering this, the stock trades at a forward P/E of over 15 at the current level of Rs 75. Investors with a horizon of at least two years may stay invested.


Note: "Rupee dreams blog" brings to it's readers the most suitable recommendations for Long term investment by short listing different Recommendations given in other Sources.


(Please take your own decision before investing or trading in stocks or take advise from your financial adviser. Trading in stock market is very risky. Please analyze yourself what is your risk profile. This blog is not an advisory service to buy or sell. The contents of “this blog” are only for educational purposes. )

Categories: Stock Tips - Long term

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